Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)
Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)
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Resolves as YES if Mira Murati becomes the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of OpenAI before January 1, 2029.
Criteria for Resolution:
Appointment as CEO: Mira Murati must be officially appointed and publicly announced as the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of OpenAI. This can be confirmed through official OpenAI announcements, press releases, or reports in reputable news sources.
Verification: The appointment must be verifiable through credible sources such as official statements from OpenAI, major news outlets (e.g., New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Reuters), or industry publications (e.g.,
TechCrunch, Wired).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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