Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)
Will Mira Murati be CEO of OpenAI before 2029? (again)
Plus
18
Ṁ29122029
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Mira Murati becomes the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of OpenAI before January 1, 2029.
Criteria for Resolution:
Appointment as CEO: Mira Murati must be officially appointed and publicly announced as the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of OpenAI. This can be confirmed through official OpenAI announcements, press releases, or reports in reputable news sources.
Verification: The appointment must be verifiable through credible sources such as official statements from OpenAI, major news outlets (e.g., New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Reuters), or industry publications (e.g.,
TechCrunch, Wired).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Mira Murati work at an AI lab at the end of Q2 2025?
97% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at mid 2028
51% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
31% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
64% chance
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAi?