If the French government faces a new no-confidence vote before July 2025, will it succeed? | Manifold

If the French government faces a new no-confidence vote before July 2025, will it succeed?

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Ṁ5

Jul 2

52%

chance

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1W

1M

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Resolves Yes if the National Assembly submits a formal no-confidence motion, debates it, and the vote passes. Resolve No if the vote fails to pass. Resolves N/A if there are zero new no-confidence votes before July, 2025.

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