Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is alive as of 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2025. If credible reports confirm his death before this date, the market will resolve to "No." Verification will be based on reputable news sources and official announcements.

Background

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the President of Ukraine since 2019, has been a central figure during the ongoing conflict with Russia. Since the full-scale invasion in February 2022, there have been multiple reported assassination attempts against him. In May 2024, Ukrainian authorities arrested two colonels from the State Guard of Ukraine, alleging they were involved in a Russian plot to assassinate Zelenskyy. (apnews.com) Additionally, in April 2024, a Polish citizen was arrested for allegedly aiding Russian intelligence in a plan to kill the Ukrainian president. (ft.com) Despite these threats, Zelenskyy has remained in Kyiv, continuing to lead the nation through the conflict.

Considerations

Given the ongoing war and the numerous reported assassination attempts, Zelenskyy's security situation remains precarious. Traders should monitor developments in the conflict, as well as any new information regarding threats to his safety, to make informed predictions.