What will be the percentage of inactive W20-S23 YCombinator startups at the end of 2025?
What will be the percentage of inactive W20-S23 YCombinator startups at the end of 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ147Dec 31
11
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question resolves to whichever value is calculated by dividing the number of inactive startups by the total number of startups from the batches W20, S20, W21, S21, W22, S22, W23, S23 as listed on the YCombinator startup directory on 12/31/2025, 12pm CEST : https://www.ycombinator.com/companies
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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