Will we be able to predict earthquakes by 2035?
Plus
13
Ṁ4192035
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve based on whether our ability to predict earthquakes is surprisingly good.
Given the subjective nature of this assessment, I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
70% chance
Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?
Will we be able to accurately forecast weather 15 days in advance, by 2025?
65% chance
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
24% chance
Will we be able to control the weather before 2045?
30% chance
Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?
20% chance
Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?
40% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
22% chance
Will the Cascadia subduction zone experience a Megathrust earthquake before 2050?
37% chance
Will we discover a new planet capable of supporting human life by 2035?
31% chance