When will Putin die?
Plus
30
Ṁ34742034
13%
Before 2026
16%
Before 2027
23%
Before 2028
30%
Before 2029
31%
Before 2030
31%
Before 2031
34%
Before 2032
56%
Before 2033
56%
Before 2034
56%
Before 2035
57%
Before 2036
57%
Before 2037
57%
Before 2038
58%
Before 2039
61%
Before 2040
Resolved
NOBefore 2025
The market will resolve positively as soon as there are credible news of Vladimir Putin dying (from natural causes or otherwise).
The option "Before X" will resolve negatively if Russian state TV broadcasts Putin's New Year address for the year X and there is no significant controversy regarding it being being fake (AI-generated, double etc.) If in a given year Putin doesn't deliver the New Year address or it is difficult to ascertain its authenticity, the option will resolve negatively as soon as Putin makes a public appearance in the new year.
I do not bet on my own questions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin die in 2025?
11% chance
Will Putin die before 2030?
57% chance
Will Putin die in office?
80% chance
Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
44% chance
Will Vladimir Putin die of natural causes?
62% chance
What will be the cause of Putin's death?
How will Putin die?
Will Vladimir Putin die before the end of the war on Ukraine?
32% chance
How will Vladimir Putin die?
Will Putin be President or Prime Minister of Russia when he dies?
82% chance