The last time any human landed on the Moon was in 1972 as part of Apollo 17 mission. As of 2025 there are at least two ongoing programs to bring humans back to the Moon: Artemis program in the US and the Chinese Lunar Exploration Program.
This market resolves positively as soon as there are credible news of any space program or commercial entity landing a spacecraft with living human passenger(s) on the surface on the Moon.
In the unlikely event that a human-carrying spacecraft has landed while losing the communication with the Earth, the resolution is delayed until the condition of the crew is known.
If a flight is performed without public announcement that it is carrying humans, the market is resolved under the assumptions that it doesn't, until there is some credible evidence that it does.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Related question:
What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?
1,000
3.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00