Will Manifold think Trump's threat to democracy was overblown at the end of 2025?
Plus
44
Ṁ2035Dec 1
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When this market closes, I will make a poll on Manifold with the question, "Was Trump's threat to U.S. democracy overblown during the 2024 U.S. presidential campaign?" The response options will be yes, no, and see results. This market will resolve to whichever of yes or no has the most votes at the end of 2025. I will reopen this market after the poll is made. I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected president, will Manifold think he made a serious attempt to remain in charge after 4 years are up?
31% chance
Why did Manifold incorrectly predict the 2024 election?
Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?
70% chance
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
38% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
31% chance
Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?
12% chance
Will Manifold be taken over by any other ideological group before 2028?
18% chance
At the end of 2024, will Manifold think 2024 was a particularly eventful year?
88% chance
Will Mr. Donald Trump join Manifold Markets before the end of 2025?
2% chance