Will an apocalypse cult attack a civilian or military target in Taiwan before 2031?
5
แน2462031
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that an apocalypse cult has attacked a civilian or military target in Taiwan before January 1st 2031.
This does not include mass suicide events.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
38% chance
Will an apocalypse cult attempt to attack a TSMC facility before 2031?
27% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
38% chance
Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?
10% chance
Will there be a trend spike for the term "apocalypse cult" before 2030?
60% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
45% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
8% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
50% chance
Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
17% chance
In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?
69% chance