Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of Nov 2025?
3
Ṁ50Nov 30
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Nov 30, 2025, is within 1% of its all-time high.
If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
(Not: 1.01 × closing value > all-time high)
[AI additions after this are not necessarily correct]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will S&P 500 increase in 2025?
92% chance
Will The S&P 500 Close above 6,500 on December 31st, 2025?
85% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2025?
1% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
73% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
71% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2028?
72% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2030?
66% chance