Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of Nov 2025?
3
Ṁ50
Nov 30
42%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Nov 30, 2025, is within 1% of its all-time high.

If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.". If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%

  • Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high

(Not: 1.01 × closing value > all-time high)

[AI additions after this are not necessarily correct]

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules