Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ107Jan 1
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market Resolution
This market will resolve YES if:
There are 100 or more homicide offenses between 1 Jan 2024 to 31 Dec 2024
This market will resolve No if:
There are fewer than 100 homicide offenses between 1 Jan 2024 and 31 Dec 2024
Number of homicide offenses is determined according to the Portland Police Bureau website. The Portland Police Bureau reports using the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) maintained by the FBI.
Disclaimer
I do not bet on markets I create in order to avoid motivated reasoning. Any changes to market description will be noted in a change log.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be more homicides in 2024 than in 2023?
27% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2030?
56% chance
Will homicides return to pre-BLM levels by 2025?
61% chance
What will the homicide rate be in Mexico for 2024?
Will the 2024 Oregon voter turnout be higher than 2020 Oregon voter turnout?
82% chance
Will Oregon have a record breaking marijuana harvest in 2024?
32% chance
Between Oct 1 2024 and Apr 1 2025, will US-election-related violence kill at least 100 Americans?
4% chance
Will Oregon meet its housing production goal and how many units will be produced by the end of 2024?
Will any journalists in Oregon be criminalized due to their professional activities in 2024?
18% chance
Have any journalists in Oregon been criminalized due to their professional activities in 2024?
Ṁ200 bounty