Between Oct 15 2023 and EOY 2028, will the US unemployment rate be continuously above 8% for at least a year?
Basic
5
Ṁ702029
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve based on https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-situation/civilian-unemployment-rate.htm or other BLS source if that page is deleted or unclear. 8.0% counts as "above 8%".
Historical data: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000?years_option=all_years
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
24% chance
Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?
7% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
38% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
25% chance
If the US unemployment reaches 20% will it reach 80% within 2 years? (AI take-off)
11% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?
44% chance
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
29% chance
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
25% chance
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
14% chance
US unemployment rate EOY2024