Will Tumblr be fediblocked by a majority of the top 10 Mastodon instances by MAU, 6 months after implementation?
Plus
18
Ṁ3562031
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Note: this is conditional on Tumblr implementing ActivityPub support. If that doesn't happen before close, this market will resolve N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2025?
89% chance
Will tumblr shut down by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will Tumblr still exist by end of 2026?
81% chance
Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?
21% chance
Will Tumblr Survive Another 10 Years?
43% chance
Mastodon will be more than 1% as big as Twitter in 2030
48% chance
Conditional on Tumblr implementing support for following from ActivityPub, will they inject ads into the feed by EoY 2025?
33% chance
Will Tumblr support following from ActivityPub accounts by EoY 2025
19% chance
Will Tumblr support following external ActivityPub accounts by EoY 2025
20% chance