Who will be appointed as the next Archbishop of Edmonton following Richard W. Smith's departure?
Who will be appointed as the next Archbishop of Edmonton following Richard W. Smith's departure?
1
Ṁ30Dec 31
37%
A current Canadian bishop
14%
A priest from the Archdiocese of Edmonton
17%
A priest or bishop from outside Canada
14%
A member of a religious order
17%
This market resolves to the person who is officially appointed as the next Archbishop of Edmonton following Richard W. Smith's departure to Vancouver (expected in May 2025).
The market will resolve when the Vatican officially announces the appointment of a new Archbishop of Edmonton.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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