Will Argentina reduce government spending by 25% or more in the next government budget?
Will Argentina reduce government spending by 25% or more in the next government budget?
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6
Ṁ171Dec 31
36%
chance
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Compared to the current budget at the time of question creation, in real terms after adjusting for inflation in Arg Pesos. N/A if the budget is in another currency and cannot be measured in Arg Pesos anymore.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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