Will there over 9000 Cumming residents by 2030?
Will there over 9000 Cumming residents by 2030?
Basic
3
Ṁ282031
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
wikipedia.org/wiki/Cumming,_Georgia
Cumming historical population:
When the population is updated from a new census from the year 2030 or later:
Resolves YES if the population is over 9000.
Resolves NO if the population is 8999 or less.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?
45% chance
Will we learn that a city had >10k residents and existed before 7400 BC, by 2034?
39% chance
Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2060?
70% chance
Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2080?
63% chance
Will more than 100,000 people live in Prospera by 2035?
23% chance
Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
29% chance
Will the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?
43% chance
Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?
24% chance
Will there be at least 800 people living in Dildo by next census?
46% chance
Will Georgia (the country) surpass the population of Georgia (the state) by the end of 2040?
7% chance