Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before May 8, 2026, Donald Trump makes a public statement that is negative about Pope Leo XIV. A "negative statement" is defined as any public remark, whether verbal, written, or posted on social media, that criticizes, disparages, or expresses disapproval of Pope Leo XIV. The statement must be reported by reputable news sources to be considered valid for this market's resolution.

Background

Pope Leo XIV, born Robert Francis Prevost, was elected as the head of the Catholic Church on May 8, 2025, becoming the first American to hold the papacy. Prior to his election, he served as the Prefect of the Dicastery for Bishops and had an extensive pastoral career in Peru. (apnews.com)

Historically, Donald Trump has had contentious interactions with the papacy. In 2016, Pope Francis suggested that Trump's plan to build a border wall was "not Christian," to which Trump responded by calling the Pope's comments "disgraceful." (theguardian.com) Additionally, Trump has previously described Pope Francis as "a very political person." (cbsnews.com)

As of May 8, 2025, upon Pope Leo XIV's election, President Trump expressed enthusiasm, describing the event as a "great honor" for the United States and indicating his desire to meet with the new Pope. (reuters.com)