Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mathieu van der Poel wins at least one stage during the 2025 Tour de France, scheduled from July 5 to July 27, 2025. Official stage results published by the Tour de France organizers will serve as the primary source for resolution. (en.wikipedia.org)

Background

Mathieu van der Poel is a versatile cyclist known for his success in road racing, cyclocross, and mountain biking. In 2025, he secured victories at Milan-San Remo and Paris-Roubaix, demonstrating strong form leading into the Tour de France. (en.wikipedia.org)

However, van der Poel has expressed ambivalence toward the Tour de France, stating, "It's a race that I don't really like." (cyclinguptodate.com) Despite this, he is expected to participate in the 2025 edition, potentially focusing on supporting his teammate Jasper Philipsen in sprint stages. (cyclinguptodate.com)

Considerations

Van der Poel's recent wrist injury, sustained during a mountain bike race in May 2025, may impact his performance. Although he returned to competition at the Critérium du Dauphiné in June, he acknowledged that his wrist was "not 100%." (cyclingnews.com) Traders should monitor his recovery and performance in lead-up races to assess his potential for stage wins in the Tour de France.