Will any past or present high level government official in the US join Manifold before the end of 2025?
Basic
7
Ṁ1662026
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes:
The president and vice president.
Any member of congress.
Any member of the senate.
Any state governor.
Any federal supreme court justice.
The head of any large federal agency (FBI, department of education, etc.)
I reserve the right to modify this list up for as long as this market has < M$1000 in volume (ignoring manipulation); after that it's locked in. I'm roughly trying to cover "anyone who a politically-active US citizen is likely to know the name of, due to their high level of power within the government and not some other reason". If you can think of any positions that would ambiguously qualify, please let me know so I can add them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for selling military secrets to another country before the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will a Manifold user attempt to Whistleblow on Manifold to CFTC before the end of 2025?
50% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
26% chance
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
24% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
71% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
31% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
65% chance
Will any past or current president of the United States create a market on Manifold by end of 2050?
8% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance
Will Eric Rosen join Manifold before the end of 2026?
24% chance