The Five Reform Pillars to Track:

1. Strengthen OpenAI's Governance

- Preserve nonprofit control and mission alignment

- Maintain profit caps and mission-related provisions

- Increase public visibility into corporate structure

- Rebuild safety culture and honor computing resource commitments

2. Implement Robust Oversight Mechanisms

- Establish third-party reviews of safety and governance

- Create protocols for safety incidents and governance failures

- Grant nonprofit veto power over development/deployment decisions

- Develop frameworks for handling powerful AI systems

3. Elevate Leadership Standards

- Implement publicly-disclosed leadership standards

- Address conflicts of interest with monitoring and disclosure

- Ensure board representation from AI safety and policy experts

- Launch new investigation into leadership integrity

4. Foster a Culture of Honest Feedback

- Implement comprehensive whistleblower protection

- Create structured engagement with governments and civil society

- Develop transparent feedback processes with public reporting

- Conduct regular third-party audits with public results

5. Preserve Profit Caps and Public Benefit

- Restore profit caps on for-profit subsidiary

- Publicly disclose current profit cap values and changes

- Reverse the 20% annual profit cap increases starting 2025

- Create binding provisions preventing future undermining

Resolution Criteria:

Market resolves "YES" if OpenAI publicly implements at least one substantial recommendation from any of these five pillars by December 31, 2025.

I will not bet in this market