When will it be proved that consciousness is non-local?
When will it be proved that consciousness is non-local?
Basic
10
Ṁ7152026
2%
Before 2026
12%
Before 2030
8%
Before 2040
8%
Before 2050
Background
Non-local consciousness refers to the hypothesis that consciousness exists independently of the physical brain and can operate beyond local space-time constraints.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES for the earliest date option that applies when either:
A peer-reviewed paper demonstrating non-local consciousness is published in a top-tier scientific journal (Nature, Science, etc.) AND receives broad acceptance from the scientific community, OR
Multiple independent research teams successfully replicate experiments proving non-local consciousness, AND this leads to a scientific consensus (>80% of relevant experts agree) that consciousness is non-local.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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