
10 companies with 1b us$ revenue and <10 employees created and exist by mid 2028
Plus
7
Ṁ3852028
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10 companies with the criteria will exist sometime before end of market. If it can be shown so, then YES
Criteria for a company
Private or public, but an independent company
<10 employees either before being bought, or at the moment it was bought
Revenue either now if it's independent, or when it was sold of >1b 2024 USD, inflation adjusted
As hunted at by this podcast with Marc Andreessen
https://youtu.be/Fw4p85jSfQc?si=xsKTQ837mRNQBWQH
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which of these companies will be largest in 2030?
At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Apr 26, 2025?
Will there be more than 10 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2025?
58% chance
A least twenty Thiel fellow founded companies are estimated to be worth >1B USD before 2034
67% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
30% chance
At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Jul 26, 2025?
Which companies will be in the top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2025?
Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer?
New CEO at three of 13 top companies by Mid 2026
28% chance
Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
37% chance