10 companies with 1b us$ revenue and <10 employees created and exist by mid 2028
Plus
7
Ṁ3852028
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10 companies with the criteria will exist sometime before end of market. If it can be shown so, then YES
Criteria for a company
Private or public, but an independent company
<10 employees either before being bought, or at the moment it was bought
Revenue either now if it's independent, or when it was sold of >1b 2024 USD, inflation adjusted
As hunted at by this podcast with Marc Andreessen
https://youtu.be/Fw4p85jSfQc?si=xsKTQ837mRNQBWQH
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be more than 10 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2025?
65% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
30% chance
Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
37% chance
Which companies will be in the top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2025?
New CEO at two of 13 top companies by April 1 2025
52% chance
Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer?
Which company will be among the top 5 publicly traded companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2030?
Which will be the first $10 trillion tech company?
A least twenty Thiel fellow founded companies are estimated to be worth >1B USD before 2034
67% chance
Which of the world's 10 largest companies* will still be in the top 10 by 2030?