When will Starship complete a full crewed mission from earth?
4
Ṁ7272050
Invalid contract
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the date on which SpaceX's Starship completes its first full crewed mission from Earth. A full crewed mission is defined as:
Launch: Starship must launch from Earth with a human crew aboard.
Orbit: The mission must complete at least one full orbit.
Reentry and Landing: The spacecraft must successfully reenter Earth's atmosphere and land safely.
Missions that do not meet all these criteria will not be considered for resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?
When will Starship complete an orbit?
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
When will Starship reach orbit?
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]