Will Trump's tariffs war be seen to have been a success by a plurality of Americans by 2026?
9
Ṁ419Dec 31
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if by the end of 2026, a plurality (the largest group, though not necessarily a majority) of Americans view Donald Trump's tariff policies as a success according to credible national polls (I will take the median position if multiple polls address the same question). It resolves NO if a plurality view them as unsuccessful or if no credible polls exist by the resolution date. I will resolve the question based on the polls conducted closest to the closing date of the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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