Resolves:
Increase if, by the end of Trump's second term, the net effect of all immigration-related legislation he signs into law is a projected increase of at least 10% in annual green card issuances (specifically because of the legislation).
Decrease if the projected effect is a decrease of at least 10%.
Neither if the net projected effect is -10% to +10%, or no relevant law is signed.
Resolution is based on projections from nonpartisan congressional sources like CBO, or consensus among think tanks etc. (with differing politics between them, if possible).
I will not bet on this market.
1,000
3.00@traders Note the description: The market exclusively concerns legislation signed into law which directly affects green card issuances, at least by ±10%. The most recent legislation like that was I think at least 25 years ago, with 2000's AC21 act.