Conditional on JD Vance being president for at least six months before 2029, will he reduce Trump's tariffs?
4
Ṁ302028
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conditional on JD inheriting large tariffs (US weighted average tariff is at least 6% for the quarter prior to his assuming office), will JD reduce tariffs such that the US weighted average for any quarter following his assumption (but prior to the next election) is less than 5%, and does not rise above 5% again before 2029.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27% chance
Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028?
11% chance
Will Trump or J.D. Vance make a public statement explicitly supporting a nationwide abortion ban before May 1, 2025?
4% chance
Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term?
21% chance
Will JD Vance be president of the United States at any point before the end of January 2029?
28% chance
Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?
15% chance
Will JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027
21% chance
When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?
Will JD Vance be US vice president on January 1st 2029?
78% chance
Will JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?
12% chance