Will the U.S. Department of Justice open a formal investigation into Elon Musk or any of his companies before 1/1/26?
4
Ṁ40
2026
59%
chance

Following the recent fallout between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, speculation has risen about potential political and legal consequences. This market resolves YES if the U.S. Department of Justice publicly opens a formal investigation into Elon Musk personally or any of the companies he is publicly associated with (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, X, Neuralink, The Boring Company) between market creation and January 1, 2026.

  • Investigations must be explicitly confirmed by the DOJ or through credible reporting (e.g., major outlets like Reuters, New York Times, Washington Post) citing DOJ action.

  • Civil or criminal investigations both qualify.

  • Routine regulatory inquiries or investigations by other agencies (e.g., SEC, FTC) do not count unless the DOJ is involved.

  • Market resolves NO if no such DOJ investigation is opened or publicly confirmed by the deadline.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules