When will the next earthquake that is greater than magnitude 9.0 and japan seismic intensity scale reach 7 hit japan?
Basic
15
Ṁ4192065
5%
2023-2024
39%
2025-2034
31%
2035-2044
10%
2045-2054
6%
2055-2064
5%
2065 or later
4%
According to mainichi.jp, the probability of a major Nanki Trough earthquake is now estimated at around 30% within 10 years, 50-60% within next 20 years, 70 to 80% within 30 years and around 90% within next 40 years.
This question will resolve by the official release of the japan meteorological agancy (www.data.jma.go.jp/multi/quake) that shows the magnitude reach 9.0 and maximum seismic intensity reach 7.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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