Who will be the next Speaker of the Rationalussy?
Who will be the next Speaker of the Rationalussy?
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The Speaker of the Rationalussy refers to the account with the most traders on rationalussy markets. Rationalussy markets are defined as markets that are tagged with #Rationalussy and actually have something to do with rationalussy. The connection can be indirect, as long as it still makes sense for the market to be in the Rationalussy topic.
In other words, assuming no false tags, the Speaker of the Rationalussy is the person at the top of the Rationalussy Creators leaderboard.
The current Speaker of the Rationalussy is @ButtocksCocktoasten. I will resolve to whatever account becomes Speaker of the Rationalussy after @ButtocksCocktoasten, except for this account (@ButtocksCocktwosten).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.