Quantum Telescopes by 2030?
Quantum Telescopes by 2030?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ246
2029
31%
chance

In a well-cited article, Gottesman, Jennewein, and Croke propose a design for a telescope system that uses quantum information to carry out interferometric measurements over light collected in widely-separated telescopes.

This question asks if such a system will exist by 2030. To qualify, the system must:

  • Observe light from actual astronomical objects, rather than simulated light.

  • Must actually transmit quantum information using the described "quantum repeater" rather than just redirecting the light itself.

  • Must make scientific observations that would not be technologically possible using other techniques deployed at the time the observations are made.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules