Lionel Messi to join Manchester City before 2026?
Lionel Messi to join Manchester City before 2026?
Basic
7
Ṁ641Dec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve as YES if Lionel Messi signs a contract with Manchester City's first team before January 1, 2026. The market will resolve as NO if:
Messi does not sign with Manchester City before January 1, 2026
Messi retires from professional football before joining Manchester City
Messi joins Manchester City in any non-playing capacity (e.g., coach, ambassador)
Considerations
Any loan moves to Manchester City would count for resolution purposes
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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