
Yes: Bitcoin reaches or exceeds a price of $200,000 on any reputable exchange (e.g., Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) at any point before 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2025.
No: Bitcoin does not reach or exceed $200,000 on any reputable exchange by 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2025.
I’m cautiously optimistic that Bitcoin could hit $200,000 before the end of 2025, but it's a risky bet. Market cycles, institutional interest, and macroeconomic trends could push it that high, yet volatility always lurks. Last year, I had to reach out to Coinbase Pro customer service during a sudden outage, a reminder that crypto platforms aren’t foolproof. If BTC gets widespread adoption or major regulation-friendly moves, a surge is possible. But a downturn in global markets or negative policy shifts could cap it well below that mark.