Will federal student loan be given with zero interest in the US by 2050?
Will federal student loan be given with zero interest in the US by 2050?
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Resolves to Yes if the federal government began to offer zero interest student loan to college students by 2050. the zero interest rate has to apply to at least 90% of all US students. Conditional (e.g. income based) zero interest rate is not sufficient for this market to resolves Yes
Given this market intend to track improvement in US college affordability, if public university became tuition free, or if there are policies that results in a majority of newly initiated student loans being forgiven, this market also Resolves Yes.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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