When will the next film/documentary primarily featuring Taylor Swift release?
When will the next film/documentary primarily featuring Taylor Swift release?
Basic
3
Ṁ2082030
5%
2024
25%
2025
14%
2026
14%
2027
14%
2028
14%
2029
14%
Criteria for what counts as a film/documentary primarily featuring Taylor Swift:
The film/documentary has to be over 50 minutes long
It has to be primarily featuring Taylor Swift. (If the film features two artists and Taylor Swift has 1/2 weight, that would not count)
If the film is only a replay of some of Taylor Swift's concert, it would not count. If it includes footage of her concert but has substantial amount of content being interviews about Taylor Swift, that would count.
Existing film/documentary that would count:
Taylor Swift: Journey to Fearless (2010)Miss Americana (2020)
Taylor Swift: Dare to Dream (2020)
Existing film/documentary that would not count:
Taylor Swift: Speak Now World Tour Live (2011)
The 1989 World Tour Live (2015)
Taylor Swift: Reputation Stadium Tour (2018)
Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour (2023)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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